What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Rongzhu on 12 Sep 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Rongzhu" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

99 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 13, 7:39 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Rongzhu: Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight,…

Market referenceufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12Updated 10d ago

Resolved

Rongzhu · settled Sep 12, 2026 UTCactivity

Rafa Garcia

0.0%

Rongzhu

100.0%

Final Rafa Garcia 0¢Final Rongzhu 100¢

Lifetime volume

$226.2K

Resolved

Rongzhu

Settled

Sep 12, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

37m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

10d ago

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Rongzhu

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

87%

Yes / No shares

88.84K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

102

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
RaulRosasJr	Rafa Garcia	36.99K	16.1%	$36.99K	Sep 12, 7:18 PM UTC
GEAEW	Rafa Garcia	12.85K	44.0%

Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims) Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Rongzhu on 12 Sep 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Rongzhu" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

RaulRosasJr

Rafa Garcia

36.99K

16.1%

$36.99K

Sep 12, 7:18 PM UTC

GEAEW

Rafa Garcia

12.85K

44.0%

Trader	Current holding value
RaulRosasJr	$0
GEAEW	$0
Lunar Horizon 8D4C	$0
errormargin3	$0
0x0A77exmm	$0
Excentrico	$0
prtchmma	$0
TheWindKnowsmyName	$0
xBorja	$0
aids2000lxr	$0
E33xing	$0
MadeiraIsland	$0