Analytics
Resolved Rongzhu on 12 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rongzhu at 60.5%. The Rafa Garcia side opened at 70.5% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2026 to 12 Sep 2026, the highest close was 70.5% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 44.5% on 1 Sep 2026. $226.23K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 7:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Rafa Garcia price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 12 Sep 2026
| Observed | Rafa Garcia price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 70.5% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RaulRosasJr | Rafa Garcia | 36.99K |
| GEAEW | Rafa Garcia | 12.85K |
| omnibus-076daa | Rafa Garcia | 7.9K |
| errormargin3 | Rafa Garcia | 3.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Rongzhu" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 0x0A77exmm | Rafa Garcia | 3.09K |
| Excentrico | Rafa Garcia | 2.97K |
| prtchmma | Rafa Garcia | 2.78K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Rafa Garcia | 2.61K |
| xBorja | Rafa Garcia | 2.43K |
| aids2000lxr | Rafa Garcia | 2.19K |
