Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 17% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 24 Jun 2026. $1.2K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 6:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| curryfever | Yes | 1.13K |
| Friendly-Copywriter | Yes | 50 |
| Glass-Duel | Yes | 6.67 |
| Emerald Orbit 4E8B | Yes | 6.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Rafael Fiziev and Manuel Torres at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf-man6-2026-06-27
| AfghanThunderCock67 | Yes | 5.56 |
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