Analytics
Resolved Paulo Costa on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paulo Costa at 35.5%. The Paulo Costa side opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 39.5% on 27 Mar 2026. $1.56M traded over the market's life.
367 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 6:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Paulo Costa price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Paulo Costa price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mudman88 | Azamat Murzakanov | 67.71K |
| SecondWindCapital | Azamat Murzakanov | 46.45K |
| Momentumtrades | Azamat Murzakanov | 37.6K |
| BTCGambler247 | Azamat Murzakanov |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Paulo Costa" if Paulo Costa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Azamat Murzakanov at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-pau2-aza-2026-04-11
| 34.64K |
| isp | Azamat Murzakanov | 10K |
| Xshb777r | Azamat Murzakanov | 7.43K |
| Massimo24 | Azamat Murzakanov | 5.9K |
| Misstake | Azamat Murzakanov | 4.56K |
| GambleFroth | Azamat Murzakanov | 4.21K |
| Brave-Stand | Azamat Murzakanov | 3.43K |
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