Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the low 32% on 11 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 32% on 11 Apr 2026. $127.63 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 1:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 16 points · 26 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cool.keith | Yes | 34.58 |
| Edible-Lily | Yes | 19.7 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 13.05 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Patricio Pitbull and Aaron Pico at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-pat3-aar8-2026-04-11
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