Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 8 Apr 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 11 Apr 2026. $91.4 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 16.74 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Patricio Pitbull and Aaron Pico at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-pat3-aar8-2026-04-11
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