Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 19 Apr 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 8 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50.5% on 10 May 2026. $150.31 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 12:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 51.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lautrebhy | Yes | 42.31 |
| dennis1111 | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ozzy Diaz and Ateba Gautier at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ozz-ate-2026-05-09
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