Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 51% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 51% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 27% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27% on 6 May 2026. $238.74 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 20 |
| mog420 | Yes | 18.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ozzy Diaz defeats Ateba Gautier at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ozz-ate-2026-05-09
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