Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 14% on 21 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 15.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $187.82 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 3:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 19 points · 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigGavin | Yes | 137.19 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 15 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| wdsad1 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Osbourne" if Ode' Osbourne is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alibi Idiris at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Idiris" if Alibi Idiris is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ode-ali10-2026-02-21
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