Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49%. Yes opened at 51% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 52% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 46.5% on 14 Feb 2026. $717.86 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 15 |
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | No | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Osbourne" if Ode' Osbourne is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alibi Idiris at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Idiris" if Alibi Idiris is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ode-ali10-2026-02-21
| M81Lx | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | No | 5 |
| wdsad1 | No | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
