Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 21 Jul 2026 and the lowest 9% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 17.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $402.41 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustGiveMeMyMoneyPlease | Yes | 357.41 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| no1dodgersfan | Yes | 10.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-oba-mic37-2026-08-01
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