
Resolved Yes on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the low 43.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 59.5% on 8 Feb 2026. $556.56 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5.63 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | No | 5 |
| magaplant | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nikolay Veretennikov at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Veretennikov" if Nikolay Veretennikov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nik1-nik5-2026-02-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page