
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 55% on 10 May 2026 and the low 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026. A week ago Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 55% on 10 May 2026.
$132.94 has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 6:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 14 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 52.0% |
| 14 May 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Nicolas Dalby and Jeremiah Wells at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nic3-jer4-2026-05-16
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