Analytics
Resolved Nicolle Caliari on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nicolle Caliari at 0%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 17 May 2026 and the low 48.5% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 100% on 17 May 2026. $171.61K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LaBradfordSmith22 | Shauna Bannon | 23.4K |
| CyberScore.live | Shauna Bannon | 4K |
| CH90 | Shauna Bannon | 3.86K |
| chao9152 | Shauna Bannon | 2.34K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shauna Bannon at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Shauna Bannon" if Shauna Bannon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nic24-sha26-2026-05-16
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