Analytics
Resolved Amosov on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Amosov at 79.5%. The Magny side opened at 46.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 6 Dec 2025 and the low 20.5% on 14 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 27% on 7 Dec 2025. $183.54K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Magny price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Magny price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 46.5% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knoxgold | Magny | 10K |
| g64 | Magny | 1.81K |
| swdmetamask | Magny | 1.4K |
| EtherBless | Magny | 957 |
| ZionWish | Magny | 926 |
| GooberThaGooner | Magny | 700.08 |
| BadSugar | Magny | 623 |
| AngelWisp | Magny | 478 |
| 444444444 | Magny | 466.39 |
| ElonMaaah | Magny | 277.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Magny" if Neil Magny is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yaroslav Amosov at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nei-yar-2025-12-13
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