Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 30 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24% on 29 Jan 2026.
$1.23K has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 27.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Namsrai Batbayar and Aaron Tau at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nam1-aar7-2026-01-31
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