Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 30 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Jan 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30.5% on 29 Jan 2026.
$10 has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 8:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 33.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Namsrai Batbayar and Aaron Tau at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nam1-aar7-2026-01-31
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