Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 19 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2026 to 14 May 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 26 Apr 2026 and the lowest 39% on 10 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 40% on 9 May 2026.
$5.61K has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 6:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 14 May 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 52.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 49.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Modestas Bukauskas and Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mod-rod3-2026-05-16
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