What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Modestas Bukauskas on 17 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Modestas Bukauskas" if Modestas Bukauskas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Edwards at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

92 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 18, 4:15 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-mod-cedwar-2026-05-16) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Modestas Bukauskas: UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs.…

Market referenceufc-mod-cedwar-2026-05-16Updated May 18, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Modestas Bukauskas · settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$230.9K

Resolved

Modestas Bukauskas

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

19h ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 18, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Modestas Bukauskas

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

86%

Yes / No shares

6.67 / 100.74K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

244

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
stackingsats	Christian Edwards	32.22K	25.0%	$32.22K
sunflowaa	Christian Edwards	19K	26.0%

UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Modestas Bukauskas on 17 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Modestas Bukauskas" if Modestas Bukauskas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Edwards at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

stackingsats

Christian Edwards

32.22K

25.0%

$32.22K

sunflowaa

Christian Edwards

19K

26.0%

Trader	Current holding value
Clumsy-Percentage	$6.67
stackingsats	$0
sunflowaa	$0
6yuyurrg	$0
beet420	$0
LudoPriclychenie	$0
maxgreen	$0
DONKEYFISHBET	$0
arbarbbinks	$0
Kat2	$0
E33xing	$0
Violet Maven 3DA3	$0