Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.66 | $0.830 | $1.56 | +$0.18 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 15.01 |
| $0.110 |
| $1.28 |
| -$0.38 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 8.39 | $0.110 | $0.55 | -$0.38 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.200 | $0.44 | -$0.13 |
| sell |
| 6.25 |
| $0.017 |
| $0.11 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.013 | $0.22 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.380 | $1.73 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.108 | $1.15 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.17 | $0.820 | $5.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.840 | $6.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.750 | $5.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.840 | $6.58 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.91 | $0.781 | $6.18 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.520 | $4.69 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.999 | $9.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.570 | $6.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.96 | $0.560 | $6.7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 28.67 | $0.219 | $6.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.046 | $0.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.330 | $1.57 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.135 | $2.7 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.050 | $0.14 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.043 | $3.01 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.430 | $2.14 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.033 | $0.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.510 | $2.54 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up | sell | 0.55 | $0.045 | $0.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.51 | $0.030 | $0.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.030 | $0.45 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.201 | $0.42 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.201 | $10.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |