Analytics
Resolved Modestas Bukauskas on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Modestas Bukauskas at 25.5%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 14 May 2026. $230.9K traded over the market's life.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 4:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 May 2026 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 73.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stackingsats | Christian Edwards | 32.22K |
| sunflowaa | Christian Edwards | 19K |
| 6yuyurrg | Christian Edwards | 12.23K |
| beet420 | Christian Edwards |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Modestas Bukauskas" if Modestas Bukauskas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Edwards at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mod-cedwar-2026-05-16
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| 5.16K |
| LudoPriclychenie | Christian Edwards | 5K |
| maxgreen | Christian Edwards | 3.63K |
| DONKEYFISHBET | Christian Edwards | 3K |
| arbarbbinks | Christian Edwards | 2.76K |
| E33xing | Christian Edwards | 1.96K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Christian Edwards | 1.83K |
