Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17% on 23 Jul 2026. $585.62 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| technician2 | Yes | 343.51 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 124 |
| TanksOMW | Yes | 50 |
| Unsteady-Skullcap | Yes | 25.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mike Davis and Nurullo Aliev at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mik1-nur-2026-07-25
New to prediction markets?
| Player96 | Yes | 18.04 |
| YSAI | Yes | 10 |
| Btjon25 | Yes | 4.76 |
