Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59%. Yes opened at 53% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 59% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 52% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 59% on 28 Mar 2026. $1.71K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 50%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sick-Miracle | No | 40 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 5.58 |
| ShahRiazKhan | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mic8-nik1-2026-03-28
| shahsports | No | 5 |
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