Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 24 Jun 2026. $661.73 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 6:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mrcrovax | Yes | 107.14 |
| Sibonis | Yes | 42.08 |
| VapedRL | Yes | 41.67 |
| Cosmic Orbit 6DEE | Yes | 35.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michel Pereira and Shara Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mic6-sha28-2026-06-27
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 30.58 |
| Offensive-Newspaper | Yes | 10.37 |
| BotRomTan2 | Yes | 5 |
| hesure | Yes | 3 |
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