Analytics
Resolved Drew Dober on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Drew Dober at 60.5%. The Michael Johnson side opened at 50% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 39.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
216 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Michael Johnson price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Michael Johnson price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 212121212121212121212 | Michael Johnson | 38.73K |
| Jon-Anik-Fan | Michael Johnson | 20K |
| 6yuyurrg | Michael Johnson | 13.99K |
| GambleFroth | Michael Johnson |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Michael Johnson" if Michael Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Drew Dober at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Drew Dober" if Drew Dober is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mic4-dre-2026-03-07
| 10.89K |
| ve3693 | Michael Johnson | 9.9K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Michael Johnson | 8.13K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Michael Johnson | 8.1K |
| hugesportswhale | Michael Johnson | 4.67K |
| Saivestor | Michael Johnson | 4.2K |
| Glossy-Numismatist | Michael Johnson | 3K |
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