Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 19% on 21 Mar 2026.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 10:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 6 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | Yes | 28.92 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 13.24 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Page and Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mic32-sam2-2026-03-21
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