Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 10% on 5 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 11.5% on 30 Nov 2025. $4.88K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| InfinitePain | Yes | 2.86K |
| hs84640 | Yes | 178.57 |
| Kasumigaseki | Yes | 142.86 |
| uDE6INCF | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Merab Dvalishvili defeats Petr Yan at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mer-pet-2025-12-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 2yuilN7 | Yes | 117 |
| Cts4QpRVx | Yes | 104 |
| 8VqLx | Yes | 104 |
| J2KJfKj8nT | Yes | 102 |
| aTgoIF | Yes | 98 |
| drewchik | Yes | 71.43 |
