Analytics
Resolved Santos on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Santos at 56.5%. The Croden side opened at 50% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 14 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 40.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 40.5% on 7 Dec 2025. $154.4K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Croden price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Croden price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Santos" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mel8-lua4-2025-12-13
| Loving-Nexus | Croden | 2.13K |
| BrokenKeyboard | Croden | 910 |
| Innerbl00m | Croden | 681.82 |
| Slimy-Modeling | Croden | 667 |
| Etherewl | Croden | 656.23 |
| jj1970jj | Croden | 615 |
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