Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 20 Jun 2026, the highest close was 52% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 37% on 17 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 39.5% on 15 Jun 2026. $1.85K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 11:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 31 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ijoker | No | 6.74 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
| intdtghy5 | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Melissa Mullins and Bia Mesquita at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mel7-bia1-2026-06-20
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