Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52% on 4 Jun 2026 and the low 34.5% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 50.5% on 21 Jun 2026. $1.38K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 12:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 31 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| khamzat99 | No | 400 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Melsik Baghdasaryan and Murtazali Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mel2-mur2-2026-06-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
