Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $447.92 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 1:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| karadoc | Yes | 57.66 |
| popoticed | Yes | 37.91 |
| CrovaxGargos | Yes | 29.69 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 14.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mayra Bueno Silva and Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-may1-mic36-2026-04-25
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 13.3 |
| Ivory Tide 58D8 | Yes | 4.96 |
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