Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 32.5% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6% on 6 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 15% on 29 Jun 2026. $65.32K traded over the market's life.
206 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 4:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 19 May 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 27.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sunny-Pawnshop | Yes | 5K |
| issacpphpotp | Yes | 4.93K |
| 0x46984B6 | Yes | 2.23K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.28K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11
New to prediction markets?
| testknow | Yes | 1K |
| STACK-X0 | Yes | 727.27 |
| fishingforprofits | Yes | 602.82 |
| Raegency | Yes | 587.55 |
| Incomplete-Stench | Yes | 559.73 |
| Excited-Appliance | Yes | 525.87 |
