Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 27% on 19 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 37.5% on 16 Jun 2026 and the low 19% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 19% on 12 Jul 2026. $286.58K traded over the market's life.
501 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 19 May 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 27.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Frosty4ever | Yes | 142.02K |
| igottawin | Yes | 13.76K |
| Magamega | Yes | 5.75K |
| Quiet Tide A51A | Yes | 3.02K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor defeats Max Holloway at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Quiet Sphinx F522 | Yes | 2.61K |
| Scary-Operator | Yes | 2.16K |
| Elaborate-Roller | Yes | 2.09K |
| acid97 | Yes | 2.05K |
| Farsyyde | Yes | 2K |
| Kalanjosef | Yes | 1.99K |
