Analytics
Resolved Mario Pinto on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mario Pinto at 86%. The Mario Pinto side opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 87% on 19 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 78% on 7 Mar 2026.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mario Pinto price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Mario Pinto price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 86.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Wood | Felipe Franco | 20K |
| thepunterwhopunts | Felipe Franco | 15.68K |
| borntoloosebaby | Felipe Franco | 7.57K |
| unrealfeeder | Felipe Franco |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Felipe Franco" if Felipe Franco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar86-fel11-2026-03-21
| 6.73K |
| jmm20 | Felipe Franco | 6.1K |
| c4c4 | Felipe Franco | 6.03K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Felipe Franco | 2.5K |
| hi774c | Felipe Franco | 1.79K |
| Ukki | Felipe Franco | 1.65K |
| kiinndz | Felipe Franco | 1K |
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