Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 50.5% on 14 Feb 2026. $5.23K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CJNG | No | 219.26 |
| goose1234 | No | 185.19 |
| squirtdirty | No | 32 |
| Golden Voyager DFC9 | No | 20.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Marlon Vera and David Martinez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar8-dav32-2026-02-28
| JesusKingofKings | No | 12.5 |
| proseandcons | No | 5 |
| Xanderohh | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| 8xoc25qoxugd | Yes | 0.02 |
| rcl2zoonbogf | Yes | 0.01 |
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