Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 42.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 5 Aug 2026. $10.14K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 10:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 45.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| revela39 | No | 500 |
| almet | No | 499.99 |
| STC14 | No | 377.88 |
| Jittery-Confidentiality | No | 288.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Manoel Sousa and Richie Miranda at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-man15-rmiran-2026-08-08
| Forecastication2 | No | 271 |
| zcc19970101 | No | 170.17 |
| Gleaming-Clockwork-Reamer | No | 54.04 |
| neutralwave23 | No | 24.46 |
| 333r | No | 23.61 |
| Lavincey | No | 20 |
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