Analytics
Resolved Manoel Sousa on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Manoel Sousa at 26.5%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 70.5% on 4 Aug 2026. $352.93K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 11:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 66%–78%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 70.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kldjsh | Richie Miranda | 33.3K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Richie Miranda | 20.91K |
| NXYD | Richie Miranda | 20.04K |
| provingit | Richie Miranda | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Richie Miranda at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Richie Miranda" if Richie Miranda is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-man15-rmiran-2026-08-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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