Analytics
Resolved Manoel Sousa on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Manoel Sousa at 100%. The Manoel Sousa side opened at 67.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 66% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 100% on 15 Mar 2026.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Manoel Sousa price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 6 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Manoel Sousa price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 67.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Bolaji Oki | 19.22K |
| Flashy-Building | Bolaji Oki | 10K |
| JohnnyWins | Bolaji Oki | 9.06K |
| jizzbucket57 | Bolaji Oki | 6K |
| randomdd1 | Bolaji Oki | 3.25K |
| PatheticWhale | Bolaji Oki | 2.67K |
| illraise7 | Bolaji Oki | 1.5K |
| RipNDip | Bolaji Oki | 1.33K |
| Aggressive-Runaway | Bolaji Oki | 1.33K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Bolaji Oki | 1.16K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bolaji Oki at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Bolaji Oki" if Bolaji Oki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-man15-bol-2026-03-14
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