Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 37.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 5 Apr 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 50% on 29 Mar 2026. $1.34K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 2:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 5 Apr 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 5 Apr 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Amber Quasar 5ADF | Yes | 14.9 |
| mdgc | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Manolo Zecchini and Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-man13-tom15-2026-04-04
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 0.18 |
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