Analytics
Resolved Kape on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Kape at 28.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 71.5% on 10 Dec 2025 and the low 50.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 64.5% on 7 Dec 2025. $408.89K traded over the market's life.
125 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 6 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Empty-Lathe | Royval | 13.23K |
| noloanplz | Royval | 9.38K |
| Pokapoka | Royval | 6.41K |
| Innerbl00m | Royval | 5.15K |
| dsgdfhet34 | Royval | 4.4K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Royval | 3.91K |
| BrokenKeyboard | Royval | 3.87K |
| XSRM | Royval | 3.23K |
| SunlineTicker | Royval | 2.44K |
| GooberThaGooner | Royval | 2.33K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Kape" if Manel Kape is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brandon Royval at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Royval" if Brandon Royval is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-man1-bra6-2025-12-13
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