Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51% on 21 Jul 2026 and the lowest 36% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 39% on 24 Jul 2026. $1.36K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 6:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MB4 | Yes | 234.42 |
| Friendly-Copywriter | Yes | 119.05 |
| Silver Voyager 2ECC | Yes | 19.32 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Magomed Zaynukov and Damian Rzepecki at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mag11-drzepe-2026-07-25
New to prediction markets?
| Droopy-Hold | Yes | 7.14 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 5.59 |
