Analytics
Resolved Perez on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Perez at 61.5%. The Chiasson side opened at 51% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 21% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24% on 9 Feb 2026. $630.14K traded over the market's life.
108 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Chiasson price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Chiasson price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SammySledge | Chiasson | 55.56K |
| 9sh8f | Chiasson | 11.17K |
| 6yuyurrg | Chiasson | 9.22K |
| xfile | Chiasson | 6.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Chiasson" if Macy Chiasson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Perez" if Ailin Perez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mac-ail1-2026-02-28
| benwyatt | Chiasson | 5.82K |
| jizzbucket57 | Chiasson | 5.1K |
| sunflowaa | Chiasson | 4.49K |
| Harmful-Wood | Chiasson | 3.69K |
| berbisminsk | Chiasson | 3.35K |
| PhoenixSuns | Chiasson | 3.22K |
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