Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 34.5% on 5 Aug 2026. $12.98 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 10:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 43.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Lynx B1F8 | Yes | 10.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louie Sutherland defeats José Montanha at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-lou2-jluiz-2026-08-08
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