Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 21 Jun 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 20 Jun 2026 and the lowest 41% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 53.5% on 20 Jun 2026. $10.3K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 2:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 31 May 2026 – 21 Jun 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shoemanhere | Yes | 541.5 |
| almet | Yes | 500 |
| xprofitguy | Yes | 100 |
| olddirtyfighter | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyo-man1-2026-06-20
| Lavincey | Yes | 70 |
| Tlgdnepae | Yes | 9.8 |
| ceu | Yes | 9.02 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Biggeropossum | Yes | 2 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
