Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 18 Apr 2026. $847.35 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 20, 2:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| generalVR | Yes | 300 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 200 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 22.32 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl5-cha3-2026-04-18
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