Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 20%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 52% on 7 Jun 2026 and the lowest 20% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 1 Jun 2026. $5.01K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 2:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 26 May 2026 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ryarbs | No | 92 |
| Mispriced47 | No | 70.56 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 16.11 |
| Emerald Harbor 51C0 | No | 10.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bo Nickal at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Bo Nickal" if Bo Nickal is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl3-bon-2026-06-14
| pedrobenito | No | 7.46 |
| ShahRiazKhan | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| 097235097 | No | 1.56 |
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