Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 61% on 29 Mar 2026. $837.71 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 12:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | No | 100.9 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 11.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl1-ter1-2026-03-28
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