Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 12% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 50% on 29 Mar 2026. $7.92K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 1:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lalalala2 | Yes | 306.8 |
| tsfhjb | Yes | 222.88 |
| papaer | Yes | 130.33 |
| peakvision | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl1-ter1-2026-03-28
| Neat-Slate | Yes | 60 |
| DicholasJ. | Yes | 58.2 |
| siick | Yes | 57.59 |
| MetalSpider | Yes | 50 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
