Analytics
Resolved Terrance McKinney on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Terrance McKinney at 61.5%. The Kyle Nelson side opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the low 38% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38% on 25 Mar 2026. $559.45K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 3:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Kyle Nelson price, Polymarket CLOB · 16 points · 8 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Kyle Nelson price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BoggsFromShawshank | Kyle Nelson | 27K |
| GambleFroth | Kyle Nelson | 15.93K |
| SammySledge | Kyle Nelson | 1.85K |
| JohnnyWins | Kyle Nelson | 1.75K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl1-ter1-2026-03-28
| RipNDip | Kyle Nelson | 1.11K |
| smegma3000 | Kyle Nelson | 1K |
| Zksprover | Kyle Nelson | 1K |
| walka | Kyle Nelson | 830 |
| slimjoe | Kyle Nelson | 745.32 |
| LossAversion | Kyle Nelson | 540.54 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
