Analytics
Resolved Cristian Pérez on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cristian Pérez at 74.5%. The Kyle Nelson side opened at 50% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24% on 14 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 10 Oct 2026. $41.04K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 2:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Kyle Nelson price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Kyle Nelson price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mastermoney | Kyle Nelson | 5.18K |
| jomantsago | Kyle Nelson | 4.17K |
| TheodoreDoesntPlay | Kyle Nelson | 804.44 |
| mishipolis | Kyle Nelson | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cristian Pérez at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Cristian Pérez" if Cristian Pérez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kyl1-cri4-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| lhbcrypto | Kyle Nelson | 384.62 |
| Second-Park | Kyle Nelson | 372.82 |
| Wupa | Kyle Nelson | 335.73 |
| hi774c | Kyle Nelson | 275.72 |
| Kolemba | Kyle Nelson | 200.62 |
| Alibiswk | Kyle Nelson | 200 |
